The MMA predictive model’s accuracy is improving significantly. It generated 9 out of 10 correct predictions for UFC 143, and 2 out of 2 correct for UFC on FUEL TV. For the year, the model has accurately predicted 20 out of 25 fight outcomes, for an overall accuracy of 80%. On Tapology, the model’s performance has it placed at 48 (out of ~4850 members) or top 1%. The goal is to eventually reach the top spot, and consistently own first.
For UFC 144, the model’s predictions are below (also, check them out on Tapology, at http://www.tapology.com/profiles/predictmma/predictions):
Editor’s Note: This is the sixth in a series of fight predictions by guest columnist Jason Noriega, an analyst at a U.S. National Laboratory. Jason has a keen interest in predictive modeling and participates in predictive modeling competitions, where he has placed in the top 10% using various machine learning algorithms. He also lectures around the United States.
The predictive model developed by Jason Noriega for Jason’s Picks is the copyrighted intellectual property of Jason Noriega, Nery Castillo-McIntyre, and Artes Marciales Mixtas en Español.